NBABasketballData AnalysisSports

The NBA's Scoring Explosion

How NBA scoring jumped 30% in 20 years, why home court advantage collapsed during COVID, and which teams dominate at home.

I have 20 years of NBA game data. Has scoring changed much over time?
Let me calculate the average points per game for each season across the entire dataset.
This is remarkable. In 2004, teams averaged around 86 points per game. By 2024, that's jumped to 113 points - a 31% increase. The inflection point was around 2015 when the three-point revolution really took off. The pace of play and offensive efficiency have both skyrocketed.
What about home court advantage? Is that still a thing?
Great question. Let me track home team win percentage over the same 20 years.
Home court advantage has been surprisingly consistent at around 58-60% - until 2020. That massive dip to 54% was the COVID bubble in Orlando. No fans, neutral court, everyone in the same hotel. It proves that crowd noise and travel fatigue really do matter. Notice how it bounced right back to normal once fans returned.
Which players have logged the most games over this period?
Let me find the iron men of the NBA - players who appeared in the most total games.
LeBron James leads with 1,541 games - that's 19 full 82-game seasons worth of basketball. Vince Carter is right behind at 1,541 as well, spanning an incredible 22-year career. These numbers represent remarkable durability in a sport that punishes bodies.
Which teams have the strongest home court advantage?
Let me calculate each team's home win percentage across the full dataset.
The Spurs dominate at 72.7% - nearly three-quarters of their home games are wins. The Denver Nuggets at 67.5% benefit from altitude (5,280 feet elevation is brutal for visiting teams). The Warriors' 66.8% reflects their dynasty years. At the bottom, you'd find rebuilding franchises. Home court matters, but consistency matters more.

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